On page number 280 of his book ‘The Age of Spiritual Machines’, Ray Kurzweil describes the following:
By the year 2099:
"There's a strong trend towards a merger of human thinking with the world of machine intelligence that the human species initially created.
Being a casual observer of people and of our species, I have always thought that the way we exchange information with each other is, well, not very seamless. Because, it is still dependent upon the interpretation of another. And I think, this is why we always leave it to chance that only some xx percentage will 'get it' and even within that subset, they will 'get it' by xx percentage. This is not Science, this is a gamble.
Now, from a Historical point of view, we have gone from scrolls, to paper, to the hyperlink. And I believe, that virtual reality is the next big medium.
But again, when it comes to the 'seamless' transfer of information between two human brains/minds, even Virtual Reality could not offer to be that panacea.
Coming back to the comments by Kurzweil, specifically relating to this 'standard assimilated knowledge protocols' that he is referring to. First of all, this guy has remarkable insights. I can tell, how Kurzweil can visualize how things are going to going to be in the future and he can actually get down to the very details of how they will play out.
Now, the problem here is still a somewhat chaotic transfer of information. Meaning, all knowledge transfer in the world is inherently dependent upon how another brain/mind would interpret the situation/topic. That is a subject by itself.
But, wouldn't it be amazing if entire knowledge sets could be transferred from one human to another without any effort at all. To get to that level, we'd have to structure knowledge and repackage it.
The written letterform, became a representation of the linguistic abilities of our species. Words led to books, books led to the collection of thoughts. This, collection of thoughts led to things like rationalism, observation, science, expression e.t.c.
The next leap-frog from the age of knowledge to the age of transcendence will have a lot of key components. One of them will be the seamless transfer of knowledge from any one human to another. Or perhaps, from one to many and many to one.
Standard assimilated knowledge protocols make sense. What a wonderful concept!
This blog-post has been sitting in my drafts folder for quite some time.
In 2012, I came across an interesting research paper by Nils J. Nilsson. The title of this research paper is ’Artificial Intelligence, Employment and Income‘. It appears that the actual research paper was published in the summer of 1984.
Nilsson has raised a couple of interesting points in this paper. Excerpt below:
Now I haven't even scraped the surface of AI, machine learning and mobile robotics in general. But, these technologies will mature very rapidly and when they do, then there will be some sort of an impact on jobs. And specifically routine based jobs.
Hence, I think I agree with the gist of what Professor Nilsson has mentioned in this paper.
The sentiment about generational wide changes is shared amongst one or two other individuals that I have spoken to as well. In particular, I recall my conversation with one of the CompSci Professor at Ryerson University and how they agreed with the statement being made in bullet # 2 above.
Civilization would have to make the necessary changes today, in order to be able to truly meet the impact, that the birth of true and real A.I is going to create in the future. Waiting for that moment to arrive is not an option.
Professor Nils J. Nilsson is not the first or the only scientist to have raised this issue in a reasonable, legible, rational way. Shedding light on this issue is important. Equally important is to do it in such a way that is rational. That does not have a luddite bias attached to it. Here, I use the term technology in the broader sense. One that encompasses advancement made in computing, AI and robotics. We need more investments and continued advancement in these areas as this is the only way of ensuring that we are able to provide for 7 billion people (and growing).
Also, in the near-term future state, the overall issue of employment requires a new vision and a new way of thinking. Hence, design-thinking becomes that much more important.